Austin's Housing Market 'Busting' as Troubling Milestone Reached - Newsweek

Housing inventory for sale in Austin, Texas, reached a new cycle high last month at 10,913, according to a recent ResiClub report, and is now 41 percent above pre-pandemic levels—a new milestone that some experts are interpreting as a bad omen for the city.

The metropolitan area of Austin-Round Rock-Georgetown Texas, had 7,727 homes listed for sale in June 2019; this is according to an analysis of Realtor.com active listing data made by ResiClub journalist Lance Lambert. By June 2020, housing inventory had dropped to 5,664; a year later, it had plunged to 2,370 homes listed for sale.

While, in June 2022, housing inventory had risen to 5,598, supply really exploded in June 2023, with 8,283 homes listed for sale. Last month, inventory was even higher, up 24 percent from a year earlier.

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For Tracey Ryniec, value stock strategist at Zacks Investment Research, this boom in inventory in the Texan capital indicates that the "bubble" that grew in the city during the pandemic "is busting now," as she wrote on the social-media platform X, formerly Twitter.

Newsweek contacted Zacks Investment Research and the Austin Board of Realtors for comment by email on Monday morning.

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For Austin homeowners concerned about affordability, this is great news. Home prices skyrocketed in the city during the COVID-19 pandemic, when an influx of out-of-state new residents looking for cheaper properties and a lower cost-of-living caused a frenzy of grueling bidding wars.

A drastic slowdown in the number of people moving to Austin after the end of the pandemic and a cooldown of its overheated market has caused dramatic price drops in the city between late 2022 and early 2024.

From November 2022 to February 2024, the city reported 16 consecutive months of falling prices year-over-year, according to real-estate company Redfin; as of March, prices started to climb back compared to a year earlier, though they remain below the pandemic peak of $667,000 in May 2022. In May 2024, according to the latest data available on Redfin, the median sale price of a home in Austin was $586,000, up 3.7 percent year-over-year.

Austin, Texas
In an aerial view, the downtown skyline is seen on March 19, 2024 in Austin, Texas. Inventory continues to grow in the Texan capital, where it reached a new cycle high last month. In an aerial view, the downtown skyline is seen on March 19, 2024 in Austin, Texas. Inventory continues to grow in the Texan capital, where it reached a new cycle high last month. Brandon Bell/Getty Images

But while home prices are climbing back in the Texas capital, options for buyers are also increasing, as overall inventory continues to grow. This is not something unique to Austin: Texas, together with Florida, is among the states that have been building the most new homes in the past couple of years in the entire country.

Given more choice, buyers are becoming more picky. The latest data from the Austin Board of Realtors (ABOR) shows that the median sale price of a home in the city was down by 6.3 percent in June year-over-year, at $450,000, while inventory had grown to reach five months.

While new listings were down 3.9 percent year-over-year, the total number of active listings were up by 25.9 percent. Sales were down by 13.4 percent, compared to a year earlier, while homes spent an average extra two days on the market from June 2023, for a total of 65 days without going under contract.

Emily Chenevert, chief executive officer for the Austin Board of Realtors, previously told Newsweek that the price "anomalies over the past two years were unsustainable" and that the city is now returning "to a more normal level of high demand and activity."

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